Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 834.645267 944.451010 1067.378005 1215.972222 1391.763199 1594.380287 1847.440923
2025-04-06 650.664660 788.399580 956.861360 1181.034066 1476.072074 1857.717217 2399.890311
2025-04-13 548.120402 691.392956 876.136901 1136.986023 1504.478808 2017.660093 2814.860645
2025-04-20 503.429880 657.693495 866.108874 1176.568646 1642.449423 2342.351728 3530.228688
2025-04-27 461.520834 620.256603 843.025992 1189.982317 1739.356390 2619.135325 4236.727749
2025-05-04 426.976821 587.998106 821.565396 1199.945351 1828.798003 2897.042560 5016.807184
2025-05-11 397.225825 558.838343 800.199213 1205.243971 1908.812761 3171.568480 5867.843009
2025-05-18 380.044529 546.222569 801.806403 1246.480067 2055.226667 3594.247313 7155.509777
2025-05-25 362.935906 531.713947 798.267949 1277.580857 2187.404385 4017.822822 8600.938607
2025-06-01 344.104561 512.550207 784.793518 1288.793320 2282.839282 4387.092496 10062.503678
2025-06-08 325.594406 492.184658 767.050364 1289.483233 2356.755913 4726.124889 11590.607847
2025-06-15 312.943084 480.316844 762.460876 1313.749203 2482.887316 5215.807505 13792.272519
2025-06-22 290.216249 450.284191 724.279549 1270.424319 2460.733079 5351.880280 14996.084100
2025-06-29 270.177933 423.515621 689.843570 1230.944117 2441.873179 5495.996235 16329.369504
2025-07-06 251.235262 397.305888 654.217817 1184.913646 2400.405001 5570.307522 17459.878580
2025-07-13 245.661478 394.119362 660.663770 1226.570459 2573.993653 6293.983861 21683.044218
2025-07-20 237.010043 384.760688 654.586351 1240.720725 2682.865039 6865.007484 25750.890405
2025-07-27 228.597980 375.220417 647.288941 1251.223886 2784.585249 7449.616271 30464.134646
2025-08-03 220.272080 365.259615 638.305471 1256.811277 2874.583053 8029.225558 35804.703824
2025-08-10 216.497525 363.505628 645.436042 1300.304737 3078.372392 9089.267868 45519.998330
2025-08-17 211.795124 359.645515 647.916444 1333.121775 3259.348203 10148.248784 57082.226671
2025-08-24 205.381048 352.063531 642.057927 1344.955816 3380.731122 11029.278341 69018.614223
2025-08-31 198.387332 342.919986 632.199572 1345.684024 3468.418708 11812.696455 81877.668284